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Harry Floyd

I write The Durability Curve. Practical essays on AI agents, markets, infrastructure, and the hidden constraints that decide what lasts.

The Things You Used to Know by Heart: memory, thinking and AI

The Things You Used to Know by Heart: memory, thinking and AI

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4 min read
One Question for Any AI Model Headline: Can You Use It?

One Question for Any AI Model Headline: Can You Use It?

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3 min read
Amazon Shut Out Meta's Agent: the week in AI, with six calls

Amazon Shut Out Meta's Agent: the week in AI, with six calls

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11 min read
Use AI to Learn Without Getting Worse at It

Use AI to Learn Without Getting Worse at It

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9 min read
Show It an Example: why 'make it distinctive' gets you the most ordinary output

Show It an Example: why 'make it distinctive' gets you the most ordinary output

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4 min read
Survivorship bias: why your evidence is only what survived

Survivorship bias: why your evidence is only what survived

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4 min read
Induced demand: why widening a road never ends the jam

Induced demand: why widening a road never ends the jam

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5 min read
The Skill That Never Fired: How to Test Whether Claude Actually Picks Your Skill

The Skill That Never Fired: How to Test Whether Claude Actually Picks Your Skill

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13 min read
The Work That Comes Due After You Leave: the step you forgot

The Work That Comes Due After You Leave: the step you forgot

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8 min read
Memory Capacity Binds Before FLOPs Do: AgentX and the Agentic Inference Bottleneck

Memory Capacity Binds Before FLOPs Do: AgentX and the Agentic Inference Bottleneck

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2 min read
You're Comparing Contracts, Not Models: agent benchmarks

You're Comparing Contracts, Not Models: agent benchmarks

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6 min read
Your Tools Got Powerful. Get Boring.

Your Tools Got Powerful. Get Boring.

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6 min read
Your AI Agent Stack: MCP and skills vs the contract stack

Your AI Agent Stack: MCP and skills vs the contract stack

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6 min read
You Only Hold Four Thoughts: working memory and tools

You Only Hold Four Thoughts: working memory and tools

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6 min read
You Cannot Try to Fall Asleep

You Cannot Try to Fall Asleep

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6 min read
Three Hidden Bottlenecks the AI Buildout Has Already Moved Past GPUs

Three Hidden Bottlenecks the AI Buildout Has Already Moved Past GPUs

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6 min read
The Substrate Map: find your substrate-to-canopy ratio

The Substrate Map: find your substrate-to-canopy ratio

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2 min read
The Stable Liar: how a metric keeps reporting green

The Stable Liar: how a metric keeps reporting green

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5 min read
The SpaceX IPO: which layer investors actually own

The SpaceX IPO: which layer investors actually own

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5 min read
The Other Half of Compute: what a gigawatt actually buys

The Other Half of Compute: what a gigawatt actually buys

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5 min read
The Lens Lexicon: ten terms behind the durability lens

The Lens Lexicon: ten terms behind the durability lens

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2 min read
The Investor's Substrate Test: score any position

The Investor's Substrate Test: score any position

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2 min read
The Guardrail Your Agent Can Reach: agent hook security

The Guardrail Your Agent Can Reach: agent hook security

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5 min read
The Forest Floor Is The Product: substrate over canopy

The Forest Floor Is The Product: substrate over canopy

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5 min read
The Five Laws of Durable Systems

The Five Laws of Durable Systems

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5 min read
The Eight Stages Underneath Hard Decisions

The Eight Stages Underneath Hard Decisions

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5 min read
The Displacement Rate Audit: score any bet in five minutes

The Displacement Rate Audit: score any bet in five minutes

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2 min read
The Cheaper Fix You Keep Skipping: aim before capability

The Cheaper Fix You Keep Skipping: aim before capability

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6 min read
Taste Is What You Delete: the scarce skill after AI

Taste Is What You Delete: the scarce skill after AI

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6 min read
Start Here: What Survives When The Surface Changes?

Start Here: What Survives When The Surface Changes?

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6 min read
AI Agent Skills Are Package Management

AI Agent Skills Are Package Management

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6 min read
Self-Improving Agents Are a Release Engineering Problem

Self-Improving Agents Are a Release Engineering Problem

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6 min read
Right Company, Wrong Vector: why a pick is not a position

Right Company, Wrong Vector: why a pick is not a position

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6 min read
Right About AI, Wiped Out Anyway: the $725bn question

Right About AI, Wiped Out Anyway: the $725bn question

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6 min read
Agent Memory Is Not Learning: the loop that improves it

Agent Memory Is Not Learning: the loop that improves it

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6 min read
Prompting Isn't Writing, It's Compilation

Prompting Isn't Writing, It's Compilation

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6 min read
PLTR: The AI Stock That Has To Prove It Owns The Permission Layer

PLTR: The AI Stock That Has To Prove It Owns The Permission Layer

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6 min read
The 90-Day Canopy Audit: is your roadmap displaceable?

The 90-Day Canopy Audit: is your roadmap displaceable?

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6 min read
Is This Difficulty Load-Bearing?

Is This Difficulty Load-Bearing?

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1 min read
Five Patterns Across 3,000 Papers and 12 Fields

Five Patterns Across 3,000 Papers and 12 Fields

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6 min read
AI Made You Faster. It Did Not Make You Safer.

AI Made You Faster. It Did Not Make You Safer.

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6 min read
How Reliable Is Your AI Agent?

How Reliable Is Your AI Agent?

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6 min read
Most AI Verification Is Just Bigger Classification

Most AI Verification Is Just Bigger Classification

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5 min read
The Average Is Nobody's Result

The Average Is Nobody's Result

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5 min read
Your Robot Coworker Is Still a Pilot

Your Robot Coworker Is Still a Pilot

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5 min read
Where Your Metrics Fold: accurate and still misleading

Where Your Metrics Fold: accurate and still misleading

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5 min read
The Leverage Hierarchy of Agent Engineering

The Leverage Hierarchy of Agent Engineering

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4 min read
Your AI Looks Best Where You Can Check It Least

Your AI Looks Best Where You Can Check It Least

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7 min read
Three AI Stack Bugs Other Fields Already Fixed

Three AI Stack Bugs Other Fields Already Fixed

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7 min read
AI Can Write Your Code. That Does Not Mean It Should.

AI Can Write Your Code. That Does Not Mean It Should.

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4 min read
Your Tests Pass. So What?

Your Tests Pass. So What?

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18 min read
When Your Research Agent Cites Sources It Never Read

When Your Research Agent Cites Sources It Never Read

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7 min read
Your Multi-Agent System Is an Org Chart

Your Multi-Agent System Is an Org Chart

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11 min read
Why Agent Benchmarks Miss Long-Running Task Reliability

Why Agent Benchmarks Miss Long-Running Task Reliability

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4 min read
Never Let Claude Code Tell You It's Done: a stop-hook gate

Never Let Claude Code Tell You It's Done: a stop-hook gate

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3 min read
How Long Until Your AI Edge Stops Paying?

How Long Until Your AI Edge Stops Paying?

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4 min read
Access Is Not Agency: agent permissions and action contracts

Access Is Not Agency: agent permissions and action contracts

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3 min read
Ten Lines Scored 100%: how AI benchmarks break

Ten Lines Scored 100%: how AI benchmarks break

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4 min read
The Seven-Layer Agent Audit: How to Find Where Your AI Agent Is Actually Starving

The Seven-Layer Agent Audit: How to Find Where Your AI Agent Is Actually Starving

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4 min read
What Proves You Can Think?

What Proves You Can Think?

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3 min read
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